The OptaJoke Betting Blog – 15th January

As usual there are a couple of longshots for you this week courtesy of OptaJoke. The weekend’s selections will differ from week to week in an attempt to find some decent value in the longer odds markets. After last week’s goals galore coupon i’ll be trying my hand at a decent sized double and a goalscrorer special on offer.

Firstly the double, it’s all about goals this week and I think I’ve found a couple of games that could be high scoring affairs (disclaimer: these games will now finish 0-0 just to prove me wrong). Most bookies offer over and under markets on goals, starting from as little as 0.5 all the way up to 5.5 and beyond in some cases, over/under 2.5 is the most popular line as this is the market that games normally are closest to.

The first selection for this weekend consists of 2 over 3.5 goals bets on the following games:

Brighton v Peterborough: The runaway leaders play host to a Peterborough side who simply can’t stop scoring (or conceding). Posh alone score an average of 2 goals per game as well as conceding an average of 1.94 so their supporters wouldn’t be surprised to see a high scoring 90 minutes between these two. With both sides looking to extend 2 match winning streaks there could be fireworks on the south coast.

West Brom v Blackpool: The Baggies have already had 8 games go over the 3.5 goals mark this season and Blackpool have had 7 of their games beat this line. West Brom will be desperate to get themselves out of a 6 game slump and Ian Holloway’s side will continue their free flowing attacking style. This one has all the ingredients to contain 4 goals or more

Both games to go over 3.5 goals will return over 5/1 which isnt a bad price at all.

The second tip this weekend comes from Sunday’s final live game where Manchester United visit Spurs at White Hart Lane. Again, this one has all the potential to be a cracker but teams can often cancel each other out and as Manchester City v Arsenal proved, these blockbusters can produce 0-0 draws. I’m looking at the 1st goalscorer market in this game though and I think Gareth Bale is overpriced at 10/1 with Victor Chandler. Given what we have seen Bale do this season against some very capable full backs from across Europe he could well find himself in some advanced positions in this game. Whats more if Spurs want to take the game to United then he will be one of the main creative outlets along with Van der Vaart and could well be in contention for opening the scoring. Considering he’s got 7 goals already this season 10/1 is a healthy price for a small stakes bet.

As always gamble responsibly and enjoy the weekend’s action.

Happy Punting!

Selections:

Over 3.5 goals double – WBA v Blackpool & Brighton v Peterborough @ around 5/1

Gareth Bale to score 1st v Manchester United @ 10/1

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