OptaJoke Betting Blog – 29th April

OptaJoke Betting Blog

As many parts of Britain and the World catch Royal Wedding Fever, we here at OptaJoke are more concerned with the longshot betting opportunities for this weekends football action. With another full set of fixtures set across the bank holiday there are plenty of opportunities to have a punt if you fancy the look of the selections below.

Over 2.5 goals treble:

Blackpool v Stoke

Every game is becoming more and more crucial for Ian Holloway’s Blackpool side, after a promising start to the season the initial highs have all to often been replaced by crushing defeats in recent months. They’re still outside of the bottom three but a home game against Stoke will surely be targetted as an opportunity to add to the existing points total of 34. Blackpool have been involved a large number of highscoring games this season and I don’t think this one will buck the trend of the 88% of games at Bloomfield Road that have gone over 2.5 goals.

Stoke’s form in recent weeks has been pretty impressive, a 3-0 win in midweek against Wolves has put them into 10th in the league and assured their Premier League status for another year. Tony Pulis’ side might not be the most obvious candidates for a high scoring game but their recent goalscoring form has caught my eye, Kenwyene Jones has scored in his last 3 consecutive games and Jon Walters is always a danger going forward.
Blackpool need to attack in their remaining games if they are to maintain their Premier League status and The Potters have the pace in players like Etherington and Pennant to expose them on the counter attack. The Tangerines are also vunerable at set pieces and with talent like Ryan Shawcross and the aforementioned Jones, this one could easily see the 3 goals required.

Derby v Bristol City

Nigel Clough’s side are flirting with the relegation places in The Championship but in reality I think with an 8 point cushion between them and the bottom three they should be OK. In the last few months there have been goals a plenty in games involving the home side, 8 out of their last 9 league games have gone over the 2.5 goals mark. I for one thought they would miss the creativity of Kris Commons who left for Celtic in January but with Bueno, Savage and Davies all chipping into the goal tally scoring hasn’t proved a problem. The issue lies more at the other end of the pitch where The Rams have leaked goals in recent weeks and I can’t see this game being much different.

The visitors are a little more comfortable in 16th than their opponents this weekend and have found themselves amongst the goals in their recent games. The trend seems to be that its the away games which prove the most fruitful with 60% of City’s games away from Ashton Gate seeing 3 or more goals this season. The last two games against Nottingham Forest and Sheffield United have seen 10 goals and that is a perfect example of Bristol City’s season, they’ve got options going forward and often trouble the scorers but without a rearguard action strong enough to take advantage of this.

Rochdale v Peterborough

Rochdale are maybe just out of the play-off picture in League One as it stands but they may still harbour ambitions of sneaking into the final spot as the season draws to a close. Their last three games have all been defeats and they will need to buck the trend against the league’s top scorers if they are to progress further up the league. Although 50% of the games of Spotland have gone over 2.5 goals if there was ever going to be a game that beats this mark it’s going to be against Peterborough who have been a punters dream on the goals markets since the season began back in August.

Posh’s high scoring games need no introduction really. A massive 77% of their league games have contained three goals or more. If they manage to get on the scoresheet on Saturday afternoon they will surpass 100 league goals for the season and I’m sure that is a milestone that will be fondly remembered by players and fans alike, somewhat more than the 73 league goals conceeded at the other end of the pitch. The previous encounter between these two saw a 2-1 scoreline in favour of the visitors and I can see this one being another high scoring encounter.

This treble returns just over 5/1 with most bookmakers.

As this week’s longshot I’ve decided to take on a Goals Galore Coupon where both teams still have something to play for in their respective seasons. Games at this kind of year can often turn in to “dead rubbers” where in reality both sides are coasting towards midtable so let’s see if we can get a longshot winner where both teams still have their foot on the pedal!

Millwall v Swansea – both teams vying for promotion through the play-off places, could be a fiesty affair.

Brighton v Huddersfield
– Brighton want to maintain their strong run although their already confirmed as going up, Huddersfield are sill pushing to claim an automatic promotion place.

Accrington v Barnet
– Accrington are right in the play-off mix while Barnet are fighting tooth and nail not to be relegated.

Northampton v Stevenage – The cobblers are also looking to escape the drop while Stevenage are attempting to fend off a challenge from Gillingham for 7th place.

This four fold returns 9/1

As always, good luck and gamble responsibly.

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